Empirical Curve Library
How We Actually Load Cost
Reconstructed from every job's dated cost ledger — not assumed. Material is bought early; labor runs flatter. These are the real shapes we can turn into forecasting templates by scope.
Jobs
Scopes
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Cost Loading Curve Actual
Cumulative % of cost spent across the job timeline (0–100% complete). The dashed line is what the live forecast currently assumes (symmetric S–curve). The gap is why early cash looks wrong.
Curve Shapes
How many jobs follow each shape.
Front-loaded — most cost early
Even — steady spend
Back-loaded — most cost late
Single-burst — one dominant cost event
By Scope
Each scope's typical shape and how confident we can be (job count). Click a row to focus the curve above.
| Scope | Jobs | Avg contract | Typical shape | Material in 1st 30% | Confidence |
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